Liberals, Tories in virtual dead-heat in GTA: Leger poll
GTA Liberal support sits at 47%, three per cent more than the Tories at 44% and a difference within the poll's margin-of-error
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OTTAWA — While the Conservatives gain ground against the Liberals nationally, the two front-runners have entered a statistical dead heat in the Greater Toronto Area.
In new polling released this week by Leger for Postmedia, approval ratings for Mark Carney’s Liberals in the GTA currently sit at 47%, just 3% more than Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives’ 44% — a difference within the poll’s margin-of-error.
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The Liberals maintained their comfortable lead in metro Toronto, 53% compared to the Tories’ 37%.
Hamilton-Niagara favours the Liberals at 46% to the Tories 36% — a region where the NDP enjoy their most support at 13%.
The Tories lead in southern Ontario — 46% to the Liberals’ 37% — marking the Grits’ lowest support in the province. The Conservatives see their most solid support in Northern Ontario, with 47% to the Liberals’ 43%.
Province-wide, the Liberals sit at 47% approval, a two-point drop from last week — while the Conservatives scored 40%, a gain of 1%.
The Liberals’ most loyal demographic are voters aged 55 and up, where they command 51% of support.
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Voters 35 to 54 are the Tories’ biggest supporters at 45%, compared to the Liberals’ 39% in that age bracket.
Ontario voters seem certain in their choices, with 71% saying their vote is final, while 27% indicated they may change their mind before election day.
As for who would make the best prime minister, 40% chose Carney, 31% support Poilievre, and 7% figure NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh would do the best job.
As for which leader Ontario voters would like to have dinner with, Poilievre ended up on top with 20%.
The poll found 19% want to break bread with Carney, 13% preferred Singh, while 2% picked PPC Leader Maxime Bernier, and only 1% wanted to share a table with BQ Leader Yves-François Blanchet.
The most popular answer to that question, however, was “none” at 31%.
Conducted April 11-14, the poll surveyed 1,002 Ontario adults via Leger’s online panel. A probability sample of comparable size yields a margin of error of 3.1%.
bpassifiume@postmedia.com
X: @bryanpassifiume
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