Race for vote remains tight as election day nears

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Voting day is Monday but as of now the federal election remains too close to call, according to polling firm Campaign Research.

The company released a poll of 2,000 Canadians on Friday and with an additional 1,500 people surveyed, the race remains a tie between the Liberals and Conservatives nationally.

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“This election has yet to break in favour of either party,” said Nick Kouvalis, principal of Campaign Research.

As of Saturday night the two main parties were tied at 31% a piece while the NDP sits at 17%, the Greens at 7% and People’s Party at 3%.

“Over the last 3 days, on the national level, support for the parties has remained very stable,” Kouvalis said.

That means the election comes down to geography and voter turnout.

“In Ontario, the Liberals have opened up their lead over the Conservatives taking 37% support to 32% support. This is a critical measurement as the path to victory for the Liberals comes through Ontario. In the 905 though, it still seems that the Conservatives have a small lead,” Kouvalis said.

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In Quebec, the Liberals have 34% voters support while the Bloc Quebecois sits at 28%, the Conservatives at 17%.

The Liberals also lead in Atlantic Canada, the Conservatives lead from Ontario to the B.C. coast where a three-way race continues.

The Liberals hold a lead among voters aged 18-34 and Conservatives lead among voters aged 35 and over. Conservatives hold a lead among men while Liberals lead among women.

This study was conducted by Campaign Research between Oct. 16 and 19, 2019, through an online survey of 3,541 randomly selected Canadian adults and has an estimated margin of error of +/- 1.6%, 19 times out of 20.

jwarmington@postmedia.com