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This combination of pictures created on September 6, 2024 shows Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Photo by MANDEL NGAN and ERIN SCHAFF /AFP via Getty Images
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Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States.
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That according to American University professor Dr. Allan Lichtman, who has earned the reputation as being the Nostradamus of U.S. elections after correctly predicting nine of the last 10 presidential races.
Lichtman’s videotaped prediction that Harris, the current vice-president, would defeat former president Donald Trump to keep the White House in Democratic hands on Nov. 5 was posted to the New York Times website on Thursday.
Lichtman, 77, has become famous for his presidential predictions, which are based on his own “Keys to the White House,” 13 categories that assess each candidate’s prospects of winning.
In the video, Lichtman suggested that Harris has the advantage in eight “keys” while Trump comes out on top in three. Despite Harris joining the campaign late after President Joe Biden bowed out in July, the professor still believes she will win.
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“The keys absolutely will work — they are the constant northern star of political prediction,” he said before adding that “the outcome is up to you, so get out and vote.”
Lichtman, a registered Democrat, says some of his keys could still “flip” but it won’t be enough to give Trump his second term as president.
Lichtman claims to have correctly predicted how every presidential race turned out since 1984, but that seems to be a stretch, according to the New York Post.
In 2000, he claimed Al Gore would beat George W. Bush for the presidency. Gore won the popular vote but lost the Electoral College, making Bush the president and giving Lichtman the loss.
According to the Post, Harris holds a 2.4 percentage point advantage over Trump in polls while Nate Silver’s recent forecast gives Trump a 58.2% chance of winning.
The two presidential candidates are scheduled to debate each other Sept. 10 in Philadelphia. The debate will be aired by ABC News.
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Postmedia is committed to maintaining a lively but civil forum for discussion. Please keep comments relevant and respectful. Comments may take up to an hour to appear on the site. You will receive an email if there is a reply to your comment, an update to a thread you follow or if a user you follow comments. Visit our Community Guidelines for more information.