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Kevin Gausman of the Toronto Blue Jays delivers a pitch against the Minnesota Twins in the first inning at Target Field on May 26, 2023 in Minneapolis, Minnesota.Photo by David Berding /Getty Images
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May 31st recap: It was a clean sweep on Wednesday as Mookie Betts homered in his first at-bat, Mitch Keller struck out seven and Alek Manoah walked three batters in his four innings of work.
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Gausman sits fourth in strikeout rate in the Major Leagues at 31.9% and has struck out eight or more in three of his past four games.
The Brewers have struck out 24.2% of the time against righty pitchers which is eighth-worst in MLB.
If you’re into home/road splits, Gausman has been even better at Rogers Centre, putting up a 33.6% strikeout rate compared to 30.7% away from home.
As always, the leash on Gausman is long and he should be able to pitch long enough to hit the over on this prop.
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Ryan McMahon OVER 1.5 Total Bases +140, bet365 (Wager: 1 unit to win 1.4 units)
The Rockies infielder has been known for hitting right-handed pitching but is far from elite with a 95 wRC+ in his career against that handedness.
However, this is all about the matchup against Diamondbacks starter Zach Davies.
The journeyman right-hander has a 5.68 ERA this season and is striking out just 17.2% of batters.
In his 5.1 innings pitched against lefty batters, Davies has allowed a .542 SLG% and struck out just 10.7% of that handedness.
That should benefit McMahon, who strikes out almost 30% of the time versus righty pitchers.
There’s a lot of pop in McMahon’s bat and it should show up today against Davies.
Tanner Bibee OVER 5.5 Strikeouts -126, FanDuel (Wager: 1.26 units to win 1 unit)
The Guardians starter gets one of the best matchups in baseball right now as the Minnesota Twins have struck out 28% of the time against right-handed pitchers, which leads the league.
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Bibee had a high strikeout rate in the minors and that has carried over into his debut season in the Major Leagues as he’s fanned 25% of batters in 34.1 innings.
The 24-year-old has gone over this number in just three of his six starts, but this matchup versus Minnesota is just too good to pass up.
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