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Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Zach Eflin has been on a roll, striking out 14 batters in his last two starts.Photo by Mike Ehrmann /Getty Images
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June 9 recap: It was another profitable week for MLB Best Bets as we finished +5.34 units thanks to a Gary Sanchez home run off Austin Gomber, who easily hit the over on earned runs allowed with seven.
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Eflin has fanned 25.7% of hitters this year and will face the Oakland Athletics, who have the third-worst strikeout rate vs. RHP at 24.9%.
He has also walked just 3.5% of batters, so he should be all around the strike zone.
In 11 starts, Eflin has struck out more than six batters five times, but it’s hard to pass up this matchup against a below-average offence in Oakland.
Adam Duvall OVER 1.5 Total Bases +115, bet365 (Wager: 1 unit to win 1.15 units)
Duvall just came back from a broken wrist a few days ago and has only one hit in eight at-bats since returning.
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While it may seem risky to take someone that’s starting to get his timing back, it’s also hard to look away from the matchup he has against Colorado Rockies starter Connor Seabold.
The former Red Sox pitcher has a 5.10 ERA on the season and has allowed right-handed batters to hit .282 with a .494 SLG%.
He has only struck out 14.1% of righty hitters, giving up a 42.% hard-hit rate.
Before he was injured, Duvall was one of the hottest hitters in baseball and his numbers still show that.
Duvall is hitting .379 with a .897 SLG% vs. RHP.
Fenway Park is always a boost for batters as well. Look for Duvall to find his stride against Seabold.
Josh Jung OVER 0.5 Home Runs +380 Caesars (Wager: 1 unit to win 3.8 units)
The young Rangers third baseman has had a lot of success against left-handed pitching this season with a .633 SLG%, hitting five home runs against southpaws.
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Jung takes on Angels lefty Tyler Anderson who has struggled against right-handed batters.
In 44 innings pitched, Anderson has allowed a .509 SLG% and six homers to righties.
Anderson’s fly-ball tendencies make him homer prone from time to time.
Globe Life Field has been a favourable ballpark for right power as well in the last few seasons.
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