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Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland speaks to reporters next to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, Aug. 18, 2020.Photo by Patrick Doyle /REUTERS
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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland insist they know what they’re doing when it comes to guiding the Canadian economy through the COVID-19 recession.
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Unemployment in Canada, at 9%, is second-highest among the G7 countries — Canada, U.K., U.S., Australia, France, Italy and Japan.
Only Italy, at 9.7%, is higher and our unemployment rate is among the highest in the industrialized world.
According to new data from the International Monetary Fund, our projected deficit to Gross Domestic Product ratio of 19.9% this year is highest among all 35 industrialized countries that belong to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).
Canada’s share of the economy represented by all government spending, at 57.3%, is sixth-highest, while our recession is expected to be more severe than many comparable countries, including Australia and Germany.
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“What is becoming clear is that the record-high spending that we’ve seen in Ottawa and around the country, both before and as a result of the COVID-19 crisis, is not translating into better economic performance” said Jason Clemens, executive VP of the Fraser Institute.
Despite this, Trudeau insists it would be “premature” to deliver a new federal budget in light of the COVID-19 recession, nor to establish what his new fiscal anchor will be.
It used to be to keep Canada’s debt-to-GDP ratio — a measure of a country’s overall economic performance — at an ideal level of 27%, which Trudeau never achieved.
When the pandemic hit it was about 31%. Now the Liberals are predicting it will be 49% this year, but with no plan on how to lower it, what the new targets will be, or when, if ever, the nation will see its next balanced budget.
Freeland said this week that the government’s “fiscally expansive approach to fighting the coronavirus cannot and will not be infinite,” without explaining when it will become finite.
Low interest rates and the fact Canada went into the recession with the lowest debt-to-GDP ratio among the G7 countries means our debt load is sustainable for now.
But going forward? Who knows and the Trudeau Liberals aren’t saying.
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